Parity in the Big Ten has experienced a reality check in the last couple of weeks.
Iowa — the Gophers’ opponent Wednesday — has lost five of its past six games after a pair of unlikely wins at Wisconsin on Dec. 31 and at Minnesota on Jan. 4.
Minnesota is 4-1 in its past five games, but the last two — a 68-52 loss at then-No. 10 Michigan State and a 77-72 overtime win against Illinois — have been a struggle.
As a whole, the Big Ten’s middle-of-the-pack teams have come down to earth, while top dogs Ohio State and Michigan State have jumped atop the conference standings.
As the chips fall into place, the main question surrounding both Iowa (3-6) and Minnesota (4-5) is whether postseason play is in the cards.
The Gophers’ NCAA tournament hopes likely rest on their performance against top-tier conference foes, but a pair of losses to Iowa could nullify its two quality wins to date.
Minnesota’s 64-62 home loss to Iowa a month ago was easily its worst offensive game of the season. A 31-21 first-half lead turned into an 8-point second-half deficit when the Hawkeyes’ zone defense stifled the Gophers’ attack.
“We didn’t shoot the ball very well that game,” head coach Tubby Smith said. “We had trouble against their zone.”
Opposing teams haven’t shown Minnesota a lot of zone since then, but perhaps that is because Minnesota has shown it can handle it.
“I think after [the Iowa] game, the next two teams we played against went zone on us, and we did a good job breaking that zone,” junior Rodney Williams said. “That’s what we practiced a lot [Monday], and I’m sure we’ll do the same thing [Tuesday], so we’ll be ready for it.”
A key factor in breaking zone defenses is beating defenders off the dribble, and with a new backcourt of Joe Coleman and Julian Welch leading the way, the Gophers have been able to do just that.
Minnesota attempted just 10 free throws against Iowa, but since Coleman entered the starting lineup Jan. 8, it has averaged 24 free throw attempts per game. Coleman alone has averaged 8.5 trips to the line.
Rebounding, however, has been a concern throughout the Gophers’ Big Ten slate.
Minnesota has allowed 12 offensive rebounds per game in Big Ten play, including 17 against Illinois.
Although the Gophers out-rebounded Iowa 34-33 in the teams’ first meeting, they allowed 12 offensive rebounds, which led to 14 second-chance points.
“[Iowa] beat us up pretty good on the offensive boards,” Smith said. “They were pretty physical, and that’s been our concern; we’ve been working hard to try to get better in that area.”
Minnesota is one of the taller teams in the Big Ten, but with Trevor Mbakwe sidelined for the season, it has lacked consistent physical play inside.
In the loss to Michigan State, the Spartans out-rebounded the Gophers 32-25 and held a 38-20 edge in points in the paint.
Williams (6-foot-7) and Ralph Sampson III (6-foot-11) have been especially inconsistent on the glass. But they may be needed more than ever Wednesday when the Gophers could play without freshman center Elliott Eliason (turned ankle) and junior forward Andre Ingram (sore hip).
“They need to play better, and they know that,” Smith said of the trio of Williams, Sampson and Welch. “But if they don’t, that’s where everyone else comes in.”
While the starting five has carried most of the load this season, the Gophers’ bench gave it a boost in the win against Illinois.
Led by sophomore Chip Armelin’s 14 points and freshman Andre Hollins’ 12, the Gophers outscored the Illini 39-9 in bench points.
Sophomore Austin Hollins, who scored 14 points and converted a game-tying 3-point play at the end of regulation, said Minnesota’s bench production elevated his own play.
“I think I might have sparked [the win] a little bit, but they brought the energy, and that helped me out as well,” Austin Hollins said. “The guys came off the bench, they played great, and they took it into overtime.”
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